US-Iran nuclear deal by

vol=$10,282,775, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=30.62%/day, AC=-0.17, 31 points

The contract has relatively clear binary resolution criteria centered on a publicly announced mutual agreement, with identified primary sources (official announcements from US/Iran) and a backup of credible reporting consensus. However, moderate risk arises from potential disputes over whether a tentative agreement counts as 'official,' ambiguity around multilateral deal qualification, and the possibility of political disagreement over announcement timing or formality.

Platform default: polymarket

12d to resolution, volume rising