Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
Resolves in ~11d — moderate horizon
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 ...