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KALSHIElections
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom20¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15¢
Jon Ossoff12¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2…
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance38¢
Marco Rubio24¢
Donald J. Trump3¢
If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republ…
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance42¢
Marco Rubio27¢
Tucker Carlson3¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2…
KALSHI
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
CONTRACT PRICE
34¢Yes/66¢No
If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines …
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance20¢
Marco Rubio14¢
Gavin Newsom12¢
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028…
KALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance20¢
Gavin Newsom16¢
Marco Rubio14¢
If Marco Rubio is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginnin…
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62¢
Flávio Bolsonaro25¢
Renan Santos9¢
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.…
KALSHI
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Ken Paxton64¢
John Cornyn37¢
If Ken Paxton wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 C…
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen31¢
Édouard Philippe27¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13¢
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around Ap…
KALSHI
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
CONTRACT PRICE
19¢Yes/81¢No
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of S…
POLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81¢
Delcy Rodríguez13¢
María Corina Machado3¢
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of …
KALSHI
Who will win Survivor Season 50?
Aubry Bracco85¢
Cirie Fields11¢
Rizo Velovic3¢
If Aubry Bracco is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before D…
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot41¢
Benjamin Netanyahu36¢
Naftali Bennett9¢
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. T…
KALSHI
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
CONTRACT PRICE
86¢Yes/14¢No
If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then t…
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
CONTRACT PRICE
19¢Yes/81¢No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offe…