Field Estimate aggregates live pricing, cross-platform divergences, and risk signals across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt — so you spot mispriced contracts before the market corrects.
Data-driven intelligence — not a chatbot wrapper.
Browse 1,000+ contracts across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt. Filter by category, sort by volume or risk score, and spot pricing anomalies at a glance.
Every contract gets its own intelligence page: price history charts, cross-platform fee-adjusted divergence, community consensus, and AI-generated bull/bear analysis — all updated automatically.
Add contracts to your watchlist and monitor price movements. When cross-platform gaps open or risk profiles shift, you’ll see it first.
You trade non-sports contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi. You want cross-platform price comparisons, fee-adjusted divergence detection, and risk data — not another news feed.
You approach markets with data, not vibes. Contract intelligence pages give you the pricing signals, community consensus, and AI analysis to make informed decisions.
Polymarket shows you one platform’s prices. Field Estimate shows you pricing across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt simultaneously — plus cross-platform divergences, fee-adjusted edge calculations, risk scores, and AI-generated analysis. We run 18 data pipelines so you don’t have to tab between three sites.
Live contract data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt. Economic data from BLS, EIA, BEA, and FRED. Community forecasts from Metaculus and Manifold. Everything feeds into contract intelligence pages automatically.
Price history charts, real-time pricing across all platforms where the contract trades, fee-adjusted cross-platform divergence, risk profiles, community consensus from Metaculus and Manifold, and AI-generated bull/bear analysis.
Every contract intelligence page, the full markets browser, and AI bull/bear analysis — all unlimited, no card required. Sign up to build a watchlist (5 contracts free, unlimited on Pro).
We match the same event across Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt using semantic embeddings, then compute the fee-adjusted edge between each pair of platforms. When one platform prices a contract significantly higher or lower than another (after accounting for maker/taker fees), we surface that as an arbitrage or mispricing signal.
Market snapshots are refreshed every 6 hours via automated cron jobs. Live prices on individual contract pages update in real-time via direct API calls to Polymarket and Kalshi. Economic indicators from FRED, BLS, and EIA update as new releases are published.
Calibration measures whether prediction markets are systematically over- or under-confident. We replicate the methodology from Le (2026) to compute calibration slopes per platform, category, and time horizon. A contract page shows you whether the current price likely over- or underestimates the true probability.
Field Estimate focuses on non-sports prediction markets: geopolitics, economics, technology, science, and crypto. We exclude sports markets from Polymarket and do not track sports-focused platforms.
Cross-platform pricing. Fee-adjusted divergences. Risk signals. Contract intelligence. All in one place.
Research tools and market data aggregation. Not financial advice.