US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

vol=$6,127,135, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=34.84%/day, AC=-0.18, 31 points

The contract has moderately clear resolution criteria centered on a publicly announced mutual agreement, which is objectively verifiable. However, ambiguities arise from potential disputes over what constitutes an 'official agreement' (preliminary vs. finalized deals), the fallback clause allowing 'overwhelming consensus of credible reporting' without precise definition, and political disagreements between parties about whether an agreement was truly 'mutual' or binding. These interpretation challenges create moderate dispute risk despite the core binary outcome.

Platform default: polymarket

0d to resolution, volume rising