Kalshiother

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

29 outcomes

78%J.D. Vance

Trade →

ResolvesJan 1, 2028620d 3h12.5K vol4\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Also trades on Polymarket (35 outcomes)Also trades on PredictIt (14 outcomes)

Price History

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Raw gap40¢

Fee-adjusted edge35¢

Positive EV for 90h (15 snapshots)

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

persistent_cross_platform_divergence

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket39¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

CorrelatedKalshi38¢

2028 Republican presidential nominee

CorrelatedKalshi8¢

Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?

All Outcomes

Cross-Platform: J.D. Vance

Kalshi78¢

Polymarket39¢

PredictIt38¢

Spread40¢

+34.6% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 39¢

Kalshi: 78¢

PI: 38¢

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If J.D. Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.