vol=$2,178,811, spread=0.0¢, OI=1087298
σ=0.00%/day, AC=0.00, 31 points
This contract has low resolution risk due to highly objective, verifiable criteria: the Republican nomination process culminates in an official nomination at the party convention with public documentation. J.D. Vance's acceptance would be a clear, documented fact requiring no interpretation. The only minor ambiguity is whether a withdrawal after nomination counts, but convention acceptance is a discrete, observable event with an official record.
Platform default: kalshi
880d to resolution, volume stable
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.