vol=$2,178,811, spread=0.0¢, OI=1087298
σ=3.51%/day, AC=-0.37, 31 points
This contract has very low resolution risk as it relies on a clear, binary, and verifiable outcome: whether J.D. Vance formally wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination. The RNC convention provides an official, dated event with documented nomination records that serve as an objective oracle. The only minimal ambiguity is the interpretation of "accepts," which is virtually always unambiguous in practice as nominees publicly announce acceptance or decline.
Platform default: kalshi
931d to resolution, volume rising
If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.