Kalshiother

2028 Republican presidential nominee

34 outcomes

38%J.D. Vance

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ResolvesNov 7, 2028931d 3h1.1M vol1\u00A2 spread

RiskLow

Also trades on PredictIt (14 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

vol=$2,178,811, spread=0.0¢, OI=1087298

σ=3.51%/day, AC=-0.37, 31 points

This contract has very low resolution risk as it relies on a clear, binary, and verifiable outcome: whether J.D. Vance formally wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination. The RNC convention provides an official, dated event with documented nomination records that serve as an objective oracle. The only minimal ambiguity is the interpretation of "accepts," which is virtually always unambiguous in practice as nominees publicly announce acceptance or decline.

Platform default: kalshi

931d to resolution, volume rising

Order Book

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All Outcomes

Cross-Platform: J.D. Vance

PredictIt38¢

Kalshi38¢

-5.3% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 38¢

PI: 38¢

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.