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Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Live odds on Kalshi | Field Estimate

Kalshiother

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

23 outcomes

30%Lori Chavez-DeRemer

ResolvesJan 20, 2029939d 18h28.9K vol1\u00A2 spread

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Also trades on Polymarket (24 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

45

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

60

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

55

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

30

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

20

Resolves in ~940d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Lori Chavez-DeRemer is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who l...

Cross-Platform: Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Kalshi30¢

Polymarket0¢

Spread29¢

+24.3% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 0¢

Kalshi: 30¢

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