Kalshiother

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

24 outcomes

47%Pam Bondi

Trade →

ResolvesJan 20, 2029939d 18h123.5K vol2\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Also trades on Polymarket (24 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions

Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~940d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

OverlappingPredictit99¢

Who will be the next Cabinet member to leave office? — Pam Bondi

Both ask about Cabinet departures, but one is about who leaves next generally, and the other specifically asks about Pam Bondi. Overlapping scope but distinct specificity.

CorrelatedPolymarket100¢

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

CorrelatedKalshi46¢

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Pam Bondi is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves fir...

Cross-Platform: Pam Bondi

Polymarket100¢

Kalshi47¢

Spread53¢

+47.8% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 100¢

Kalshi: 47¢