MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
30
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
20
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~188d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignatio...
Cross-Platform: Pam Bondi
Polymarket100¢
Kalshi46¢
Spread54¢
+49.3% fee-adjusted edge
Poly
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 100¢
Kalshi: 46¢