MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
30
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
20
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~188d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's r...
Cross-Platform: Tulsi Gabbard
Polymarket100¢
Kalshi56¢
Spread44¢
+38.8% fee-adjusted edge
Poly
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 100¢
Kalshi: 56¢