Winning the general election causally depends on winning the primary. Becerra winning the governorship requires he placed first in the primary, though primary placement doesn't guarantee general election victory.

CorrelatedKalshi1¢

California Governor primary first place candidate?

Resolution Criteria

Source: PredictIt

Resolution criteria available at: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8654/Who-will-place-first-in-the-California-Governor's-primary

99¢ raw spread

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 1¢

PI: 99¢