Kalshiother

California Governor primary first place candidate?

8 outcomes

55%Eric Swalwell

Trade →

ResolvesJun 2, 2027348d 5h10.4K vol4\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~348d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by eliminat...

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

55¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 55¢