Polymarketgeopolitical

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

18 outcomes

39%Gadi Eizenkot

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ResolvesDec 31, 2026194d 20h

RiskModerate

Also trades on Kalshi (12 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

vol=$1,032,434, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

100

σ=10.31%/day, AC=-0.27, 31 points

The contract has clear, objectively verifiable resolution criteria: a specific individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister following defined electoral events. Official Israeli government records provide an unambiguous oracle. The only minor complications are the early election contingency and the December 31, 2027 timeout, but these are explicit and measurable thresholds that are unlikely to create disputes.

Platform default: polymarket

196d to resolution, volume rising

high_volatilityno_news_volatility

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Related Contracts

CorrelatedPredictit1¢

Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Gadi Eisenkot

Both contracts ask essentially the same question about whether Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election, just with slightly different spellings and phrasing.

OverlappingKalshi31¢

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?

Both ask about the identity of Israel's next Prime Minister. Contract A specifies Eizenkot while B is open-ended. High overlap but A is more specific than B.

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately ...

Consensus Landscape

Poly

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Poly: 39¢