vol=$2,022,119, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
σ=1.64%/day, AC=-0.22, 31 points
While the contract specifies objective criteria (seat count gains), resolution relies on Russian government sources whose credibility and transparency are internationally disputed, particularly given Russia's hybrid electoral system and historical controversies over election integrity. The fallback to alphabetical order for ties and the 'consensus of credible reporting' language introduce subjective interpretation elements that could trigger disputes in contested scenarios.
Platform default: polymarket
140d to resolution, volume rising
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively ...