Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

vol=$1,768,715, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=0.00%/day, AC=0.00, 31 points

The contract has moderate-to-high resolution risk due to reliance on 'consensus of credible reporting' for verification without a designated oracle, and potential ambiguity around what constitutes a qualifying 'strike' (e.g., disputes over interception claims, damage assessment, or attribution). While the definition explicitly excludes intercepted missiles and non-aerial attacks, real-world incidents involving deniable operations or contested damage reports could still trigger disputes among reasonable observers.

Platform default: polymarket

0d to resolution, volume stable