Polymarketother

Which company has best AI model end of June?

15 outcomes

96%Anthropic

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ResolvesJun 30, 202610d 17h

RiskLow

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

vol=$1,875,939, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=3.67%/day, AC=-0.11, 31 points

Resolution relies on a specific, publicly verifiable third-party leaderboard (Chatbot Arena) with clear numerical rankings and defined tiebreaker procedures, making the outcome largely objective and binary. The primary risk is dependency on a single external data source—if the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, the contract would need to select an alternative source, introducing potential disputes over which substitute is most appropriate.

Platform default: polymarket

12d to resolution, volume rising

Order Book

Top Holders

Related Contracts

CausalPolymarket99¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

If Anthropic has the best AI model in April 2026, there's increased probability they'll maintain it in June 2026. April outcome causally influences June probability.

CorrelatedPolymarket100¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Leadership in AI models in March correlates with leadership in June, but over a 3-month period, competition and innovation could shift the rankings.

Anti-correlatedPolymarket0¢

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Both address which company has the best AI model at different time points (Anthropic in June vs xAI in April). Competing outcomes in the same AI model competition space.

Anti-correlatedPolymarket0¢

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Both about best AI model but different companies (Anthropic vs xAI) at different times. Competing outcomes in the same competitive landscape.

CorrelatedPolymarket82¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leade...

Polymarket

96¢

KalshiN/A PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

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Poly: 96¢

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