Will Anthropic have the

vol=$1,142,920, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=0.30%/day, AC=0.06, 31 points

The contract has low resolution risk due to a specific, objective data source (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) with clear tiebreaker rules and a defined check time. Primary risk factors are potential leaderboard unavailability and the possibility that model rankings could shift significantly between now and May 2026, though the resolution methodology itself is unambiguous and verifiable.

Platform default: polymarket

0d to resolution, volume stable