Markets
Risk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
Live Economic Dataas of 2026-04-28
US Nominal GDP
31.4Kbillions $+1.0%
US Real GDP
24.1Kbillions $+0.1%
S&P 500 Index
7.1Kindex-0.5%
US Crude Oil Stocks
465.7Kthousand barrels+0.4%
US Crude Oil Production
13.6Kthousand b/d-0.1%
FREDEIA
50
Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
51
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
75
Resolves in ~0d — short horizon, high time-decay risk
Near-term resolution
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be mad...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 26¢