MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
40
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
33
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~274d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
Top Holders
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 11¢