MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
32
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
29
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~255d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 93¢
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sal...