Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

vol=$1,952,709, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=11.50%/day, AC=-0.24, 31 points

This contract faces high resolution risk due to multiple subjective elements: ambiguity around "ceases to be President" (temporary removal vs. functional incapacity), reliance on contested Russian government announcements as the primary source, and the fallback to "consensus of credible reporting" which invites interpretation disputes. The geopolitical context makes consensus-building on Putin's status particularly contentious, and potential scenarios like incapacitation, puppet replacements, or claims of illegitimacy create significant room for disputed resolution.

Platform default: polymarket

48d to resolution, volume rising