Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

vol=$35,854,620, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=7.10%/day, AC=-0.20, 31 points

High resolution risk due to the subjective interpretation of 'definitively states' regarding alien existence—officials could make ambiguous comments, denials, or classified disclosures that create legitimate disputes about whether the threshold was met. The fallback to 'consensus of credible reporting' adds further ambiguity and introduces potential oracle disputes about which sources qualify and what constitutes consensus.

Platform default: polymarket

169d to resolution, volume stable