MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
48
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
64
Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~42d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 37¢