Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

vol=$2,398,835, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=2.25%/day, AC=-0.45, 31 points

This contract has low resolution risk because it hinges on a binary, objectively verifiable outcome—whether Graham Platner wins the Maine Democratic Senate primary. The resolution source is clearly defined (Maine Democratic party announcement), with a reasonable fallback provision if no primary occurs. The main minor risk factor is the phrase 'overwhelming consensus of credible reporting' as an alternative source, which introduces slight subjectivity, but primary election results are typically unambiguous and well-documented.

Platform default: polymarket

0d to resolution, volume stable