vol=$179,551, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
σ=0.98%/day, AC=-0.17, 4 points
The contract has clear, objective resolution criteria based on verifiable financial data (market cap on first trading day, using official exchange sources and Federal Reserve rates). Primary risks are minimal: potential ambiguity around which exchange is "primary" for dual-listed companies, rare edge cases involving trading halts, and the dependency on timely official disclosures, but these are well-addressed by the fallback provisions.
Platform default: polymarket
276d to resolution, volume stable
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026...