Polymarketother

CA-38 House Election Winner

2 outcomes

95%Democratic Party

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026143d 21h

RiskModerate

Also trades on Kalshi (2 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~144d — longer horizon, lower time pressure

Order Book

Top Holders

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket93¢

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-list...

Cross-Platform: Democratic Party

Kalshi97¢

Polymarket95¢

Spread2¢

+0.8% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 95¢

Kalshi: 97¢

CA-38 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Cross-Platform: Democratic Party