Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
Resolves in ~899d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Taking existing offers on low-priced Kalshi contracts has historically yielded -60% avg returns. Consider placing instead of taking existing offers.
Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2025) — CESifo Working Paper 12122