Kalshiother

Who will be the Democratic VP nominee in 2028?

20 outcomes

10%Gretchen Whitmer

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ResolvesNov 7, 2028898d 20h70.9K vol1\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Also trades on PredictIt (17 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~899d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

OverlappingPolymarket1¢

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Both concern 2028 Democratic leadership. If Whitmer wins the nomination, it constrains VP nominee possibilities, but doesn't determine the choice.

OverlappingPredictit3¢

Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Gretchen Whitmer

If Whitmer wins the Democratic nomination, it influences who becomes VP nominee, but these remain distinct outcomes.

OverlappingKalshi2¢

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Duplicate of pair [1]. Both concern 2028 Democratic nominations with overlapping but distinct relationships.

OverlappingPredictit2¢

Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Gretchen Whitmer

Whitmer winning the general election would make her VP choice relevant to the Democratic VP nominee question, but these are separate events.

OverlappingKalshi1¢

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Duplicate of pair [2] and [10]. Democratic VP nominee relates indirectly to presidential election winner.

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Cross-Platform: Gretchen Whitmer

Kalshi10¢

PredictIt3¢

Spread7¢

-4.2% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

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Kalshi: 10¢

PI: 3¢

Taking existing offers on low-priced Kalshi contracts has historically yielded -60% avg returns. Consider placing instead of taking existing offers.

Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2025) — CESifo Working Paper 12122