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Which party will win the House race for PA-16? — Live odds on Kalshi | Field Estimate

Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for PA-16?

2 outcomes

88%Republican party

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 17h729 vol3\u00A2 spread

⇄

Also trades on Polymarket (2 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

46

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

80

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

35

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

30

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

20

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket81¢

Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?

CorrelatedKalshi16¢

Which party will win the House race for PA-17?

CorrelatedKalshi2¢

Which party will win the House race for NY-16?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for PA-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Cross-Platform: Republican party

Kalshi88¢

Polymarket81¢

Spread7¢

+5.4% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 81¢

Kalshi: 88¢

Field Estimate provides research tools and market data aggregation. This is not financial advice. Prediction market contracts carry risk of loss. Past calibration data does not guarantee future accuracy.