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Which party will win the House race for NY-16? — Live odds on Kalshi | Field Estimate

Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for NY-16?

2 outcomes

99%Democratic party

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 18h3 vol3\u00A2 spread

Price History

Risk Profile

50

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

80

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

22

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

70

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

20

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for NY-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 99¢

Field Estimate provides research tools and market data aggregation. This is not financial advice. Prediction market contracts carry risk of loss. Past calibration data does not guarantee future accuracy.