Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for ME-01?

2 outcomes

96%Democratic party

Trade →

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 10h603 vol1\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Raw gap4¢

Fee-adjusted edge3¢

Positive EV for 12h (2 snapshots)

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~509d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket95¢

Which party will win the House race for MD-01?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for ME-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

96¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 96¢

Which party will win the House race for ME-01?

Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?

Which party will win the House race for ME-02?

Which party will win the House race for ME-02?

Which party will win the House race for MA-01?

Which party will win the House race for MD-01?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria