MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Raw gap4¢
Fee-adjusted edge3¢
40
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
27
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~144d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
Top Holders
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-list...
Poly
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 95¢
Kalshi: 96¢