Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for LA-04?

2 outcomes

98%Republican party

Trade →

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 11h84 vol3\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~509d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedKalshi95¢

Which party will win the House race for LA-03?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for LA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

98¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 98¢

Which party will win the House race for LA-04?

Which party will win the House race for LA-05?

Which party will win the House race for LA-01?

Which party will win the House race for CA-04?

Which party will win the House race for LA-02?

Which party will win the House race for LA-03?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria