Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for CA-04?

2 outcomes

97%Democratic party

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ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 12h224 vol3\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedKalshi98¢

Which party will win the House race for CA-08?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for CA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

97¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 97¢

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria