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Which party will win the House race for HI-02? — Live odds on Kalshi | Field Estimate

Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for HI-02?

2 outcomes

97%Democratic party

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 12h81 vol3\u00A2 spread

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Also trades on Polymarket (2 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

51

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

80

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

24

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

70

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

20

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket94¢

Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?

CorrelatedKalshi99¢

Which party will win the House race for HI-01?

CorrelatedKalshi2¢

Which party will win the House race for HI-01?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for HI-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Cross-Platform: Democratic party

Kalshi97¢

Polymarket94¢

Spread3¢

+1.3% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 94¢

Kalshi: 97¢

Field Estimate provides research tools and market data aggregation. This is not financial advice. Prediction market contracts carry risk of loss. Past calibration data does not guarantee future accuracy.