Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for CA-41?

2 outcomes

95%Democratic party

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 12h2.8K vol2\u00A2 spread

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Manipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for CA-41 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 95¢