Kalshiother

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

2 outcomes

57%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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ResolvesNov 7, 20291244d 19h827 vol5\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~1245d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityLong-dated

Order Book

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

57¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 57¢