vol=$1,649,617, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
σ=5.62%/day, AC=-0.01, 31 points
The contract has clear binary resolution criteria based on an objectively verifiable fact—who is formally sworn in as Prime Minister after the 2026 election. The primary oracle source (official Israeli government records) is highly authoritative and publicly documented. However, minor risks exist around early election timing, interim PM distinctions, and potential deadlines for government formation that could theoretically create edge cases by December 31, 2027.
Platform default: polymarket
196d to resolution, volume rising
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately ...