Browse Markets Blog Pricing

Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? — Live odds on Polymarket | Field Estimate

Polymarketother

Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?

68%No 32¢

ResolvesNov 4, 2026144d 17h

⇄Cross-Platform

17\u00A2 gap · 15¢ after fees

⇄

Also trades on Kalshi (2 outcomes)

Price History

⚡

+15.0%fee-adjusted edge

Persisted for 6h (1 snapshots)

Not financial advice. Fees may vary. Verify current prices before trading.

Risk Profile

47

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

60

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

59

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

30

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

30

Resolves in ~145d — longer horizon, lower time pressure

Order Book

Top Holders

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket83¢

Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?

CorrelatedPolymarket78¢

Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?

CorrelatedPolymarket81¢

Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?

CorrelatedPolymarket75¢

Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?

CorrelatedPolymarket71¢

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-lis...

17¢ raw spread

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 68¢

Kalshi: 85¢

Field Estimate provides research tools and market data aggregation. This is not financial advice. Prediction market contracts carry risk of loss. Past calibration data does not guarantee future accuracy.