Starmer out by...?

vol=$3,155,391, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=3.70%/day, AC=-0.23, 31 points

This contract has low resolution risk as it relies on a highly verifiable, binary fact: whether Keir Starmer holds the office of Prime Minister at specific times. UK government records, official announcements, and credible news reporting provide clear documentation of any change in Prime Minister. The only minor ambiguity is the precedent that an announcement of resignation counts even before effective date, but this is explicitly defined in the criteria and remains objective.

Platform default: polymarket

196d to resolution, volume stable