MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
44
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
10
vol=$8,678,034, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
90
σ=17.92%/day, AC=0.15, 10 points
25
The resolution criteria is clear and objective—it requires explicit WHO use of the word 'pandemic' in official communications, which is verifiable and binary. However, minor risks exist around distinguishing between PHEIC declarations (which don't count) and pandemic characterizations, and potential disputes over whether consensus reporting qualifies if WHO remains silent.
55
Platform default: polymarket
60
232d to resolution, volume rising
high_volatilityno_news_volatility
Order Book
Top Holders
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and ...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 7¢