MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
34
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
15
High volume — deep liquidity, tight spreads likely
56
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~72d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written d...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 30¢