MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
37
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
15
High volume — deep liquidity, tight spreads likely
49
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
75
Resolves in ~0d — short horizon, high time-decay risk
Near-term resolution
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 25¢