MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
45
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
26
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
75
Resolves in ~0d — short horizon, high time-decay risk
Near-term resolution
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." T...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 5¢
Calibration Edge · Pro
Pro subscribers see the historical edge (in percentage points) and an interpretation grounded in Le (2026) recalibration data. Upgrade to $9/mo to unlock.