MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
42
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
38
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~144d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-list...
Poly
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Poly: 85¢