Will Anthropic have the

vol=$1,142,920, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=0.15%/day, AC=0.15, 31 points

The contract has low resolution risk due to an objective, quantifiable source (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) with specific tiebreaker procedures. The primary risk factors are potential leaderboard unavailability and the possibility that tied models could be contentious, but the fallback criteria and alphabetical tiebreaker provide clear mechanical resolution paths.

Platform default: polymarket

0d to resolution, volume stable