MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
38
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
55
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~248d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 29¢
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not...