MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
49
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
76
Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
75
Resolves in ~0d — short horizon, high time-decay risk
Near-term resolution
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announce...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 53¢