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Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? — Live odds on Polymarket | Field Estimate

Polymarketother

KS-04 House Election Winner

2 outcomes

85%Republican Party

ResolvesNov 3, 2026143d 18h

Price History

Risk Profile

42

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

60

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

38

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

40

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

30

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

30

Resolves in ~144d — longer horizon, lower time pressure

Order Book

Top Holders

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-list...

KalshiN/A PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Poly

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 85¢

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