Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

vol=$2,576,697, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a

σ=13.78%/day, AC=-0.14, 31 points

The contract contains specific criteria excluding temporary disruptions and requiring 'actual control establishment,' which provides clarity, but the term 'primary governmental or military control' is inherently interpretive and depends on subjective assessments of de facto authority. The reliance on 'consensus of credible reporting' rather than objective metrics creates moderate-to-high dispute risk, particularly in ambiguous scenarios involving contested governance, power-sharing arrangements, or gradual control transitions.

Platform default: polymarket

48d to resolution, volume rising